Brad Biggs at the Chicago Tribune addresses the Bears’ 2026 NFL Draft picks in the first three rounds. After saying some nice things about the picks, he ends his article by writing this:
Other than [Dillon] Thieneman, defensive coordinator Dennis Allen is still waiting for some more options. The Bears have a fourth-, a fifth- and two seventh-round picks Saturday. [Ryan] Poles understands questions about not getting bodies on the defensive line. Part of it is living at the back of the round where you have to see what unfolds.
“Obviously we have one more day, so we can continue to add,” Poles said. “Multiple ways to add throughout the spring and training camp and during the season. It’s hard to go into a draft and just start picking at your needs and hop around the board and letting all the good guys go by just because of that.
“That doesn’t play out very well in the long haul. We stuck to the board. Every class is going to be different. But like I said, when you’re at the back of the round, it’s a little bit different than being at the top-five, top-10 picks like we have been.”
That’s all well and good. But there’s a lot that it doesn’t explain.
The first three rounds in the NFL Draft are the ones where you find your starters. Here are the Bears’ picks:
| Name | Year | Round | Position | School |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colston Loveland | 2025 | 1 | TE | Michigan |
| Luther Burden III | 2025 | 2 | WR | Missouri |
| Ozzy Trapilo | 2025 | 2 | OT | Boston College |
| Shemar Turner | 2025 | 2 | DT | Texas A&M |
| Dillon Thieneman | 2026 | 1 | S | Oregon |
| Logan Jones | 2026 | 2 | C | Iowa |
| Sam Roush | 2026 | 3 | TE | Stanford |
| Zavion Thomas | 2026 | 3 | WR | LSU |
This list is revealing.
For one thing, all of these players are from big schools, something that the Bears under the combination of Poles and head coach Ben Johnson obviously now favor. That’s logical. With the most recent rule changes in college football, players can easily transfer from one school to another, and those who stand out at smaller schools can transfer to larger schools with no penalty where they know they will get more exposure.
But what really sticks out to me is that, out of a total of 8 top draft picks over the last two years, 6 have been offensive players. This is a serious statistical anomaly and one that may indicate a flaw in the scouting process.
There are 11 players on defense and 11 on offense. That’s an equal balance of 11 positions on each side. Statistically, you would expect the draft to break down into a 50-50 split of offensive and defensive players. And, indeed, that’s what the numbers show:
| Draft | Rounds | Offensive players | Defensive players |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025* | 1–3 | 49 | 52 |
| 2026 | 1–3 | 52 | 48 |
- Does not include Travis Hunter, who was a two-way player.
Why do the Bears’ drafts deviate from these totals? It may be due to the influence that Johnson has on the process.
Johnson is an offensive head coach. I would have thought that as someone who game plans for the offense, he would see a lot of good players on the opposing defensive side of the ball. Therefore, he should be able to recognize defensive talent as well as offensive talent. But, as an aggressive coach, it may be that he’s thinking more about what he can do with the players he sees on attack than he is about what Allen can do with players on the defensive.
One thing is almost certain. The imbalance is real and it is having an effect on the Bears’ roster.
I have no doubt that Poles really is “sticking to his board” and taking the best player available on it. But statistically speaking, there have to be an equal number of “best available” players when the Bears are picking between offensive and defensive players over time. And some of the time, the Bears are missing the best available player because that player is at a defensive position.
This is not to say that the players the Bears picked are bad. The 2025 draft was a very good one, filled with players that helped the team win games last year. There’s no reason to believe that the 2026 draft won’t be as good.
But if the Bears are truly sticking to their board, then it’s obvious that there is a bias somewhere in the Bears’ scouting process that determines how that board is stacked. And that means that they are probably passing on some players that could have made their draft even better.







